Friday, March 30, 2012

Three Simple Steps before Your Marriage

#1 Get an outline for your future!
First it is important to agree that you envision the same goals for your future.  For example, both of you really want to live _____ fill in the blank.  You will have kids in ______ fill in the blank.  Create a plan of how you’ll stay healthy.  Discuss your physical preferences and health issues openly.  You certainly do not want to miss out on years of wonderful sex life.  Incorporate other ideas that make you feel great about being together.  I am sure there will be many!  Once you finalized them put them into a Strategy/Common Goals Document.  It’ll be fun to revisit every so often :o)

 #2 Get your money matters figured out!

What is your current net worth individually?  Both of you will work or just one of you. Your money will be individually managed or will you have combined accounts?  Have a conversation with a lawyer or an experienced financial planning professional individually or together to understand your legal and financial risks associated with a very unlikely future separation.  See our video blog on the benefits of Pre-Nuptial agreements: http://www.youtube.com/user/NeizvestAcademy/videos

Have an open conversation with each other about what your concerns might be.  Keep everything in perspective: “money conversations” before marriage will save you from future trouble that could cause a separation or a divorce.  According to a New York Times article frequency of disagreements about money had a direct correlation with the likelihood of divorce (Rampell).

 #3 Get your wedding planned!

When you plan your weeding remember that it’s just one day out of a lifetime of wonderful celebration of your love.  So don’t go broke and don’t over stress.  Reality is, someone has or will have a better wedding!  You can do something lovely, tasteful and fun with out spending half of your savings. 

My opinion:  Weddings are to celebrate your marriage and have a fun time.  You should get clothes that make you feel hot and comfortable.  Find a destination/place that will help you be comfortable.  Invite only the people that matter to you now.  As you go through years of your marriage you will have many opportunities to celebrate your success and happiness in follow up “anniversary” weddings where you can say your “I Do” over and over again.

Reference:

Rampell, C., 12/07/2009, Money Fights Predict Divorce Rates, New York Times, retrieved on March 30, 2012 from:


A couple of my favorites:

Frankel, L., May, 10 2005 Nice Girls Don't Get Rich: 75 Avoidable Mistakes Women Make with Money http://www.amazon.com/Nice-Girls-Dont-Get-Rich/dp/044657709X


De Angelis, B., June, 14 1993.  Are You the One for Me?: Knowing Who's Right and Avoiding Who's Wrong
http://www.amazon.com/Are-You-One-Me-Avoiding/dp/0440215757


Saturday, March 24, 2012

Options Strategies: ILMN & AMZN

Here are some sample options strategies on two stocks, which show what happens under various types of options scenarios. The two underlying stocks are ILMN and AMZN.  For this exercise, I pulled daily options quotes from CBOE.com http://www.cboe.com/DelayedQuote/QuoteTable.aspx

Before you consider playing with options be sure you know when they expire! Here is the 2012 expirations calendar: http://www.cboe.com/AboutCBOE/xcal2012.pdf

Basics:  When you trade options contracts the standard contract size is 100 (options- calls or puts)

 Strike price is the price on the face of the option. 

Uncovered Option - A type of options contract that is not backed by an offsetting position that would help mitigate risk. “Trading naked”, as it is called, poses significant risks. However, an uncovered options contract can be profitable for the writer if the buyer cannot exercise the option because it is out of the money.

To translate this Jargon: uncovered or naked option is when you don’t own the stock or a commodity but you sold a call or a put contract.  You can also be uncovered when you buy a put, which will give you the right to sell a stock or a commodity at a strike price, when it’s higher then the current price of the stock.  Buying an uncovered put is not risky because you will almost always be able to buy the security at a lower price and will be able to resell it to the put writer at the strike price.

Out of the money options are those that have a strike price that is too high or too low making them worthless before they expire.

Here is an example of writing uncovered calls and puts:

Uncovered Calls and Puts
ILMN
Expiration in March
Max Risk Exposure
Close on 3/10/2012
50.12



Close on 3/16/2012
49.93




Call @ $50
Put @ $50
Call @ $50
Put @ $50
On March 3/10/2012
0.6
0.35


Expired un-exercised Gain/ (Loss)
60
35


If called on the 16th
n/a
7


Gain/(Loss)
60
28
unlimited
4,965
AMZN
Expiration in March


Close on 3/10/2012
184.32



Close on 3/23/2012
195.04




Call @ $180
Put @ $180
Call @ $180
Put @ $180
On March 3/10/2012
5.35
1.21


Expired un-exercised Gain/ (Loss)
535
121


If called on the 23rd
1,504
n/a


Gain/(Loss)
(969)
0
unlimited
17,879


You can see that because ILMN did not fluctuate before the expiration date the writer of the hypothetical call and the put earned 60 and 28 dollars respectively.  Here is how it worked: It would not make sense for the holder of the call to exercise it because the strike price was $50, which is higher then $49.93 (the stock closed before the expiration date).  On the other hand, the holder of the put contract could have exercised the put and made the writer buy the stock from them at $50.  The assumption is that the writer would turn around and sell it at $49.93, thus losing $7 on 100 shares.

This table also shows the possible loss in the even the underlying stock went up.  When it comes to calls the possible loss is really unlimited.  On the other hand the loss on puts is limited to the multiple of the difference between the strike prices on the put and the close price of the stock before expiration.

Now in the example with AMZN you’ll see that the stock jumped from $184 to $195 in 12 days.  Also, you’ll notice that due to this change the options did not expire on the “expiration calendar date” but continued to trade through the 23rd.  The writer of the call ended up loosing $969, because they had to sell the stock to the call holder at $180, while it was trading at $195.  But because there was a profit from the original sale of call options was $535 the loss was not the full $1,500.  Put expired unexercised because the strike price was lower then the close.

An uncovered bull call spread is constructed by buying a call option with a low exercise price, and selling another call option with a higher exercise price.  Often the call with the lower exercise price will be at-the-money while the call with the higher exercise price is out-of-the-money. Both calls must have the same underlying security and expiration month.

Uncovered Bull Call Spread
ILMN
Expiration in March
Close on 3/10/2012
50.12

Close on 3/16/2012
49.93


Buy Call @ $50
Sell Call @ $55
On March 3/10/2012
0.6
0.15
Expired un-exercised Gain/ (Loss)
(60)
15
If called on the 16th
n/a
n/a
Gain/(Loss)
(60)
15
Net Gain/(Loss)
(45)
AMZN
Expiration in March
Close on 3/10/2012
184.32

Close on 3/23/2012
195.04


Buy Call @ $180
Sell Call @ $185
On March 3/10/2012
5.35
0
Expired un-exercised Gain/ (Loss)
(535)
225
If called on the 23rd
1,504
(1,004)
Gain/(Loss)
969
(779)
Net Gain/(Loss)
190


This is a strategy will work if the stock is expected to go up beyond the shorted (sold call option strike price).  You see that because ILMN did not move very much the investor would have lost $45.  They let the call contracts bought for $60 expire and the written call contracts sold for $15 expired unexercised.

An uncovered bull put spread is constructed by selling higher striking in-the-money put options and buying the same number of lower striking in-the-money put options on the same underlying security with the same expiration date. The options trader employing this strategy hopes that the price of the underlying security goes up far enough such that the written put options expire worthless.

Uncovered Bull Put Spread
ILMN
Expiration in March
Close on 3/10/2012
50.12

Close on 3/16/2012
49.93


Sell Put @ $55
Buy Put @ $50
On March 3/10/2012
4.54
0.35
Expired un-exercised Gain/ (Loss)
454
(35)
If called on the 16th
n/a
7
Gain/(Loss)
454
(28)
Net Gain/(Loss)
426
AMZN
Expiration in March
Close on 3/10/2012
184.32

Close on 3/23/2012
195.04


Sell Put @ $185
Buy Put @ $180
On March 3/10/2012
3.1
1.21
Expired un-exercised Gain/ (Loss)
310
(121)
If called on the 23rd
n/a
n/a
Gain/(Loss)
310
(121)
Net Gain/(Loss)
189


As you can see, this strategy worked well in both scenarios but was particularly successful for AMZN because of the drastic change in price.  In other words the naked puts written went on unexercised and puts purchased cost less then the gain.

Uncovered Short Call Butterfly

A short butterfly position will make profit if the future volatility is higher than the implied volatility.

  1. Sell 1 ITM Call
  2. Buy 2 ATM Calls
  3. Sell 1 OTM Call
In The Money (ITM):

  1. For a call option, when the option's strike price is below the market price of the underlying asset.
  2. For a put option, when the strike price is above the market price of the underlying asset.

Uncovered Short Call Butterfly
ILMN
Expiration in April
Close on 3/10/2012
50.12


Close on 3/16/2012
49.93



Sell Call @ $45
Buy 2 Calls @ $50
Sell Call @ $60
On March 3/10/2012
5.6
2.16
0.26
Expired un-exercised Gain (Loss)
560
(432)
26
If called on the 16th
(493)
14
n/a
Gain/(Loss)
67
(418)
26
Net Gain/(Loss)
(325)
AMZN
Expiration in April
Close on 3/10/2012
184.32


Close on 3/23/2012
195.04



Sell Call @ $175
Buy 2 Calls @ $185
Sell Call @ $195
On March 3/10/2012
13.44
6.8
2.95
Expired un-exercised Gain (Loss)
1,344
(1,360)
295
If called on the 23rd
(2,004)
n/a
n/a
Gain/(Loss)
(660)
(1,360)
295
Net Gain/(Loss)
(2,020)


In this situation the combination worked against the investor in both scenarios.  Max Profit = Net Premium Received - Commissions Paid.  Max Profit is Achieved When Price of Underlying <= Strike Price of Lower Strike Short Call OR Price of Underlying >= Strike Price of Higher Strike Short Call.


Here are references used for this summary: